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An example of how little fentanyl can be deadly, from a news conference at DEA Headquarters in 2017. (AP) An example of how little fentanyl can be deadly, from a news conference at DEA Headquarters in 2017. (AP)

An example of how little fentanyl can be deadly, from a news conference at DEA Headquarters in 2017. (AP)

Nusaiba Mizan
By Nusaiba Mizan October 3, 2022

If Your Time is short

  • Heart disease, cancer and COVID-19 outrank opioid overdoses as leading causes of death among all American adults.

  • A study by an advocacy group says that fentanyl is a leading cause of death for people ages 18 to 45 compared with other major causes of death such as automobile accidents, cancer and suicide. 

The U.S. reached a grim milestone in April 2021: more than 100,000 Americans died of drug overdoses in a single year. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention press release on this statistic said that opioids, especially the synthetic opioid fentanyl, drove the rise.

U.S. Rep. Beth Van Duyne, R-Irving,  tweeted Aug. 19: "Fentanyl is the leading cause of death among American adults."

The nation is grappling with a surge in opioid deaths, and there's no question that fentanyl is a key factor driving up those fatalities. Fentanyl is similar to morphine but is 50 to 100 times more potent, according to the National Institute on Drug Abuse. We reached out to Van Duyne's office to ask for her source for the statement but didn’t hear back. Van Duyne’s office did, however, provide an Associated Press fact check of a Families Against Fentanyl analysis that specified an age range for fentanyl-related deaths.

The advocacy group Families Against Fentanyl examined CDC data and determined fentanyl has become the leading cause of death for people ages 18 to 45 in 2019 and 2020. The group compared synthetic-opioid-related deaths with other major causes of death, which were listed in another CDC data set on leading causes of death.

Here’s what we know:

The CDC collects data revealing the leading causes of death in the U.S. In 2020, the leading causes of death among all American adults were heart disease, cancer, and COVID-19. Provisional data for 2021 showed these same health issues have continued as leading causes of death.

"Far more people die from cancer, heart disease and COVID-19, compared to fentanyl overdose," said Scott Walters, a professor of behavioral health at the University of North Texas Health Science Center at Fort Worth. Walters has been instrumental in work designed to address the opioid crisis in hard-hit communities in several states.

In 2020, more than 56,000 people ages 18 and older died in synthetic opioid-related incidents, according to data made available through the CDC’s online mortality database. In 2021, nearly 70,000 people 18 and older died in synthetic opioid-related incidents.

On whether fentanyl overdose is the leading cause of death for the 18-to-45 age range, a CDC spokesperson neither affirmed nor denied the statistic. 

Fentanyl-related deaths are coded as synthetic opioid-related deaths. Fentanyl comprises approximately 90% of the synthetic opioids category, the CDC said.

The spokesperson said "accidents (unintentional injuries)" was the leading cause of death in the age 18-to-45 group in 2021.

If one were to break out the unintentional injury category to make the drug categories rankable, the leading cause for people ages 18 to 45 would be unintentional drug overdose due to synthetic opioids. That number would exceed the second-highest leading cause of death (suicide in 2020 and COVID-19 in 2021.) 

In an email to PolitiFact Texas, the CDC spokesperson said, "If one assumes that the other synthetic narcotics category for those 18 to 45 is 90% fentanyl, then one can argue that unintentional fentanyl overdose is likely the leading cause in that age group.  However, because we don’t have exact numbers of fentanyl deaths for that age category, we cannot say for certain that this is accurate."

The spokesperson also noted overdose deaths are spread out across four different death categories: accidents, suicide, homicide and undetermined.

Public health advocates are sounding the alarm about opioids with good reason.

Scott Walters and researcher Joseph Friedman at the University of California, Los Angeles’ David Geffen School of Medicine told PolitiFact Texas synthetic opioid-related deaths is — or is likely — the leading cause of death for adults ages 18 to 45.

Brown University professor of epidemiology Brandon Marshall said drug overdose, as a broader category, is the leading cause of death among adults ages 18 to 45 with fentanyl playing a contributing role in most of them. Marshall cautioned, however, that many of these deaths are attributed to multiple substances, not solely fentanyl.

There are many ways to slice the data in the CDC database, experts said. Depending on which underlying causes of death are chosen in the database alongside the synthetic opioid cause-of-death code, the data can yield different numbers for the number of synthetic opioid-related deaths.

Michigan State University researcher Matthew Myers said synthetic opioids are the leading cause of death among adults ages 18 to 45. Data he pulled showed there are a higher number of synthetic opioid deaths other than methadone compared with firearm deaths, cardiovascular disease, motor vehicle accidents and cancer.

Dr. Lewis Nelson, chief of the Division of Medical Toxicology at Rutgers New Jersey Medical School and University Hospital, said it is plausible to say fentanyl overdoses are the leading cause of death for that age range, depending on how thinly you slice the information and data.

If you look at the data, you don’t see any cause of death category that comes near that level of synthetic opioid-related deaths, Nelson said.

You also could argue that this data, reported from death certificates, is an underestimate, Nelson said. Many jurisdictions across the country, staffed by coroners or medical examiners without a lot of funds, might not drug-test people who die.

"They might just put multidrug intoxication or something else, and that would not be counted as a fentanyl death," Nelson said.

However, Nelson said, if fentanyl is found in the body after death, then the death would be coded with synthetic opioids even if it is not the lethal agent. For example, if someone dies of a gunshot wound but also had fentanyl in their body, the synthetic opioids would be coded as an associated factor for the death.

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Our Sources

Tweet by Congresswoman Beth Van Duyne (@RepBethVanDuyne), Aug. 19, 2022

Jiaquan Xu, Sherry L. Murphy, Kenneth D. Kochanek, and Elizabeth Arias, Division of Vital Statistics, National Vital Statistics Report, "Deaths: Final Data for 2019," July 26, 2021

National Center for Health Statistics (CDC), "Leading Causes of Death: Data are for the U.S.," page last reviewed Jan. 13, 2022

National Center for Health Statistics (CDC), "Mortality in the United States, 2020," December 2021

CDC, "Injuries and Violence Are Leading Causes of Death," page last reviewed Feb. 28, 2022

CDC, "WISQARS: Explore Fatal Injury Data Visualization Tool"

National Center for Health Statistics (CDC), "U.S. Overdose Deaths In 2021 Increase Half As Much as in 2020 -- But Are Still Up 15%," May 11, 2022

PolitiFact, "Cornyn right that annual drug overdose deaths top 100,000," Feb. 21, 2022

U.S. Customs and Border Protection, "Drug Seizure Statistics," updated Aug. 15, 2022

Customs and Border Protection, "CBP Releases Operation Fiscal Year 2021 Statistics," Jan. 3, 2022

CDC, "Increases in Fentanyl Drug Confiscations and Fentanyl-related Overdose Fatalities," Oct. 26, 2015

Email from Caleb Banta-Green, director of the University of Washington Addictions, Drug, & Alcohol Institute, Aug. 31, 2022

Emails from Jane Maxwell, research professor emeritus at the University of Texas at Austin: Steve Hicks School of Social Work, Aug. 31, 2022

Emails Scott Walters, regents professor at University of North Texas Health Science Center School of Public Health, Department of Health Behavior and Health Systems, Aug. 31 and Sept. 27, 2022

Emails from CDC National Center For Health Statistics, Aug. 29, Sept. 23, Sept. 27, and Sept. 29, 2022

Farida B. Ahmad, Jodi A. Cisewksi, Robert N. Anderson, CDC, "Provisional Mortality Data - United States, 2021," April 29, 2022

Phone interview with Jane Maxwell, research professor at the University of Texas at Austin, Aug. 31, 2022

Drug Enforcement Administration, National Forensic Laboratory Information System, "NFLIS-Drug 2021 Midyear Report"

Meryl Kornfield, Washington Post, "Families devastated by fentanyl deaths rally near the White House," Sept. 22, 2022

Email from Joy Alonzo, Chair of Texas A&M Opioid Task Force, Aug. 31 and Sept. 1, 2022

Zoom interview with Moira Muntz at Families Against Fentanyl, Sept. 13, 2022

Families Against Fentanyl, "Top 10 Leading Causes of Death For People Ages 18 to 45 in the U.S." May 2021

Wonder query, leading causes of death for people ages 18 and up 2020, accessed Sept. 22, 2022

Wonder query, leading causes of death for people ages 18 and up 2019, accessed Sept. 22, 2022

Wonder query, multiple causes of death for adults ages 18 to 45 (wherein synthetic opioids is named a cause of death) in 2020, accessed Sept. 22, 2022

Wonder query, multiple causes of death for adults ages 18 and older (wherein synthetic opioids is named a cause of death) in 2020, accessed Sept. 22, 2022

Wonder query, multiple causes of death for adults ages 18 and older (wherein synthetic opioids is named a cause of death) in 2021 provisional data, accessed Sept. 22, 2022

Wonder query multiple causes of death for adults ages 18 to 45 (wherein synthetic opioids is named a cause of death) in 2021 provisional data, accessed Sept. 22, 2022

Wonder query leading causes of death for adults ages 18 to 45 in 2020, accessed Sept. 22, 2022

Wonder query multiple causes of death, all multiple causes of death codes sorted by "Multiple Cause of death" for adults ages 18 to 45 in 2020, accesssed Sept. 23, 2022

Wonder query multiple causes of death, all multiple causes of death codes sorted by "Multiple Cause of death" for adults ages 18 to 45 in provisional data 2021, accessed Sept. 23, 2022

CDC WISQARS, Causes of Injury-related death, accessed Sept. 23, 2022

CDC WISQARS, Causes of Injury-related deaths (filter age range: 18-85+), accessed Sept. 23, 2022

Meryl Kornfield, Washington Post, "Families devastated by fentanyl deaths rally near the White House," Sept. 22, 2022

National Institute on Drug Abuse, "Fentanyl Drugfacts," June 2021

Phone interview with Lewis Nelson, MD, Professor and Chair of the Department of Emergency Medicine and Chief of the Division of Medical Toxicology at Rutgers New Jersey Medical School and University Hospital, Sept. 28, 2022

Email from Matthew Myers, Research Assistant II at Michigan State University’s College of Human Medicine, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Sept. 28, 2022

Email from Brandon Marshall, professor of epidemiology at Brown University, Sept. 28, 2022

Email from Marcia Ory, Texas A&M University Public Health professor, Sept, 27, 2022

Email from Joseph Friedman, UCLA David Geffen School of Medicine, Center for Social Medicine and Humanities, Sept. 26, 2022

CDC, "Synthetic Opioid Overdose Data"

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